I am not wrong. when saying so AP is likely to win. he is the horse to beat. but they have lined up Frosted especially for this and he has a profile like Commissioner last year. he does not win much/does not have a winning profile...2 wins, 4 seconds in 8 races. but he wins in new york his own circuit. and he could be a late developing 3 year old.
Frosted has a dynamite pedigree... and if he is going to win anywhere, New York is the most likely venue. he must be played for the win..indeed in all positions of the superfecta..1 through 4
Materiality is even better. all that kept than guy down in the Derby is a riding mistake and seasoning. his actual racing foundation is not deep enough. he has only raced this year. but by now he may be seasoned snuff. Materiality also has a dynamite pedigree and very highly rated races. if he gets going saturday it will be a real horse race.....
so those are the top three with Made from Lucky in the super as well but not necessarily for the win but in the tri and super...those 4
a safe bet would be AP,Frosted,Mat on top..with those 3 and MFL in the second tier..with those 4 plus Verve in third and fourth.
that is how I see it this Wednesday. by Saturday I may see it differently