did you notice the lil tweak in my betting ::confused:: ::confused::
for the Belmont I bet commissioner in full confidence he would win or come second.
Tonalist was the horse to beat and I have to let you in on another lil tweak! I knew Tonalist was the horse to beat because he fit all the requirements: form and fitness, pedigree for the distance and for class, trainer/rider combination and winning profile..he was a lightly raced horses that had won most of his races
on the other hand Commissioner had race 10 times and had own just twice. but had some good Belmont experience and a dynamite pedigree that fit the distance even better than Tonalist. Commissioner also had form and was ready to run a big race. you could see it in his running lines. and the KEY WAS THE SWITCH OF RIDERS TO J J CASTELLANO, THE TOP RIDER IN THE STATES.
tonalist was the better horse and that was reflected in his odds 8/1. he had the winning profile and was ready. but so was Comissioner and at 28/1 there was nutten to lose. if he won you getting 60 dollars for a 2 dollar bet. and if he ran second he pays better than the winner still.
so look at this: I get 36 dollars for the place and show...and for the winner of the race..for win/place/shoe 29 dollars and change.
same with yesterday: I get 9.70 and 5.80 for the place and show which was more than the got for the win/place/show on Lexie Lou
all you have to do is to bet the most likely winner where it counts...in triactors/exactors/superfectors.
but you bet like I do only when you have a bona fide upset possibility. you dont do it every time, just like that.
like I went over the pedigrees of all those horses so I knew in all probability what they all had to offer. which is why I had no confidence in the favourite We Miss Artie. that horse has no real class from its breeding. Artie Schiller was a very good grass horse... not a great one.
but my horse..Ami's Holiday.. the#15.. has class breeding in spades, a lil light for route running on top but strong on the bottom for stamina. and horses inherit stamina mostly from their mothers..the bottom half of their pedigree.
I knew Ami's Holiday race well yesterday, likel win the race..that he had it in him to do so.. and when you see they put Contreras the top Woodbine rider on him.. then then its a go
for the Belmont I bet commissioner in full confidence he would win or come second.
Tonalist was the horse to beat and I have to let you in on another lil tweak! I knew Tonalist was the horse to beat because he fit all the requirements: form and fitness, pedigree for the distance and for class, trainer/rider combination and winning profile..he was a lightly raced horses that had won most of his races
on the other hand Commissioner had race 10 times and had own just twice. but had some good Belmont experience and a dynamite pedigree that fit the distance even better than Tonalist. Commissioner also had form and was ready to run a big race. you could see it in his running lines. and the KEY WAS THE SWITCH OF RIDERS TO J J CASTELLANO, THE TOP RIDER IN THE STATES.
tonalist was the better horse and that was reflected in his odds 8/1. he had the winning profile and was ready. but so was Comissioner and at 28/1 there was nutten to lose. if he won you getting 60 dollars for a 2 dollar bet. and if he ran second he pays better than the winner still.
so look at this: I get 36 dollars for the place and show...and for the winner of the race..for win/place/shoe 29 dollars and change.
same with yesterday: I get 9.70 and 5.80 for the place and show which was more than the got for the win/place/show on Lexie Lou
all you have to do is to bet the most likely winner where it counts...in triactors/exactors/superfectors.
but you bet like I do only when you have a bona fide upset possibility. you dont do it every time, just like that.
like I went over the pedigrees of all those horses so I knew in all probability what they all had to offer. which is why I had no confidence in the favourite We Miss Artie. that horse has no real class from its breeding. Artie Schiller was a very good grass horse... not a great one.
but my horse..Ami's Holiday.. the#15.. has class breeding in spades, a lil light for route running on top but strong on the bottom for stamina. and horses inherit stamina mostly from their mothers..the bottom half of their pedigree.
I knew Ami's Holiday race well yesterday, likel win the race..that he had it in him to do so.. and when you see they put Contreras the top Woodbine rider on him.. then then its a go
